[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"$fF-elmHrd1UEjHXd_pGb2_tawHoYZV_SUBZrAZqWSe-c":3},{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":6},200,"操作成功",{"id":7,"title":8,"content":9,"digest":10,"source":10,"coverPath":11,"thumbsCoverPath":12,"isTop":13,"isShow":14,"baseClick":13,"clickCount":15,"createTime":16,"typeId":17,"isNewest":18,"newsInfoTypeRespVo":19,"voiceUrl":22,"voiceSize":23,"taskId":24,"releaseTime":25,"titleEn":26,"contentEn":27,"voiceUrlEn":28,"taskIdEn":29,"voiceSizeEn":30},1590,"马斯克预测：2026年或将实现通用人工智能，2030年AI能力将超越人类总和","\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cstrong style=\"color: rgb(255, 153, 0); font-size: 18px;\">\t【TechWeb】据媒体报道，特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克在一次近期访谈中再次对人工智能发展做出大胆预测，认为通用人工智能（AGI）或将在2026年实现，而到2030年，人工智能的能力将超过全人类智能的总和。\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\">\t这一判断明显比多数主流机构预测的\"2030年后\"更为激进。马斯克解释称，当前人工智能正呈现\"超音速海啸\"般的指数级加速发展。他透露，旗下模型Grok-5计划于今年第一季度发布，目前已具备分析照片中电路图错误的能力。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\">\t马斯克强调：\"当前的AI在算法层面仍有巨大的优化空间，我认为在同等硬件条件下，智力密度还能再提升10到100倍。\"\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\">\t展望未来，马斯克预测未来20年，底层经济逻辑将发生根本性变化，能源可能取代传统货币成为主要价值衡量标准。随着人工智能与机器人的普及，商品与服务的生产成本将趋近于零，产能增速有望超过货币供应增速，从而导致价格普遍下降。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\">\t\"届时所有东西都会变得极其便宜，人人都能轻松获得所需的商品与服务。\"马斯克表示。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\">\t然而，马斯克也警告称，这一转变过程并不会一帆风顺。未来几年经济社会将经历一段\"颠簸\"期，人类将同时面对激进的技术变革、社会动荡与前所未有的繁荣，而这将是迈向新时代不可避免的过渡阶段。（Suky）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">【新闻来源】teachweb \u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.techweb.com.cn\u002Fit\u002F2026-01-12\u002F2970479.shtml\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"> https:\u002F\u002Fwww.msn.cn\u002Fzh-cn\u002Fnews\u002Fother\u002Far-AA1RTDQy?ocid=BingHp01&cvid=6936317f054647a2afcd53fafcde084a&ei\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">（本网转发此文章，旨在为读者提供更多的信息资讯，所涉内容不构成投资、消费建议。文章事实如有疑问，请与有关方核实，文章观点非本网观点，仅供读者参考。）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>","","https:\u002F\u002Fimage.51xinwei.com\u002F2026\u002F01\u002F1d426199aedc4929be7135d22c0f4440\u002FAI领域.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fimage.51xinwei.com\u002F2026\u002F01\u002Fthumbs\u002F1d426199aedc4929be7135d22c0f4440\u002FAI领域.jpg",0,1,54,"2026-01-14 16:45",2,false,{"id":17,"name":20,"enName":21},"芯位视野","Xinwei Vision","https:\u002F\u002Fxinwei-dev-test.oss-cn-shenzhen.aliyuncs.com\u002Fintelligent\u002Faudio%3Aaa2d5cb9-1ad8-405f-9196-cbcf3201d3cf%3A0.wav?Expires=1768384014&OSSAccessKeyId=LTAI5tNvY2RkKjZw4LLWsrPK&Signature=W5DCVl0niTr2R0xxfTk8KNiFGXk%3D",3008582,"aa2d5cb9-1ad8-405f-9196-cbcf3201d3cf","2026-01-14 16:43","Elon Musk predicts: General artificial intelligence may be achieved by 2026, and AI capabilities will surpass the sum of human intelligence by 2030.","\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cstrong style=\"color: rgb(255, 153, 0); font-size: 18px;\">\t[TechWeb] According to media reports, Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla, made a bold prediction about the development of artificial intelligence in a recent interview, stating that general artificial intelligence (AGI) might be achieved by 2026, and by 2030, the capabilities of artificial intelligence will exceed the sum of all human intelligence.\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\">\t This judgment is significantly more radical than the \"after 2030\" predictions of most mainstream institutions. Musk explained that artificial intelligence is currently experiencing an exponential acceleration similar to a \"supersonic tsunami.\" He revealed that his model Grok-5 is scheduled to be released in the first quarter of this year and has already been able to analyze errors in circuit diagrams in photos.\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\">\tMusk emphasized: \"There is still great room for optimization in current AI at the algorithm level. I believe that, under the same hardware conditions, intellectual density can be increased by 10 to 100 times.\"\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\">\tLooking ahead, Musk predicts that within the next 20 years, the fundamental logic of the economy will change, and energy may replace traditional currency as the main standard of value. With the popularization of artificial intelligence and robots, the production costs of goods and services will approach zero, and the growth rate of production capacity is expected to exceed the growth rate of money supply, leading to a general decline in prices.\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\">\t\"Everything will become extremely cheap at that time, and everyone will be able to easily obtain the goods and services they need,\" said Musk.\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\">\tHowever, Musk also warned that this transition process will not be smooth. In the coming years, society and the economy will experience a period of \"bumps,\" and humans will face rapid technological changes, social unrest, and unprecedented prosperity simultaneously, which will be an unavoidable transitional phase towards a new era. (Suky)\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">[News source] teachweb \u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.techweb.com.cn\u002Fit\u002F2026-01-12\u002F2970479.shtml\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"> https:\u002F\u002Fwww.msn.cn\u002Fzh-cn\u002Fnews\u002Fother\u002Far-AA1RTDQy?ocid=BingHp01&cvid=6936317f054647a2afcd53fafcde084a&ei\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"> (This article is reprinted by this website to provide readers with more information and news. The content involved does not constitute investment or consumption advice. If there are any questions about the facts of the article, please verify with the relevant parties. The views of the article are not the views of this website and are for reference only.)\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>","https:\u002F\u002Fxinwei-dev-test.oss-cn-shenzhen.aliyuncs.com\u002Fintelligent\u002Faudio%3A67d0a5be-ce25-4ad8-a04a-693faec03b39%3A0.wav?Expires=1774838429&OSSAccessKeyId=LTAI5tNvY2RkKjZw4LLWsrPK&Signature=pzOnFGqZYL29xEyGlFOvvJcAP%2B0%3D","67d0a5be-ce25-4ad8-a04a-693faec03b39",4521998]