[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"$fOYbM6jIZWpAq9x5UCZqrC-gTie_2PXOB1Syga9nFMYQ":3},{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":6},200,"操作成功",{"id":7,"title":8,"content":9,"digest":10,"source":10,"coverPath":11,"thumbsCoverPath":12,"isTop":13,"isShow":14,"baseClick":13,"clickCount":15,"createTime":16,"typeId":17,"isNewest":18,"newsInfoTypeRespVo":19,"voiceUrl":22,"voiceSize":23,"taskId":24,"releaseTime":25,"titleEn":26,"contentEn":27,"voiceUrlEn":28,"taskIdEn":29,"voiceSizeEn":30},1189,"AI颠覆就业格局：谷歌微软30%代码由AI生成 高盛预警6%-7%岗位或永久消失 ","\u003Cp>\u003Cstrong class=\"ql-lineHeight-1-75\" style=\"font-size: 18px; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);\">智通财经获悉，高盛经济学家指出，生成式人工智能对美国劳动力市场的冲击已开始在就业数据中显现端倪。该机构高级全球经济学家约瑟夫·布里格斯坦言，尽管多数企业尚未将AI技术实际应用于生产场景，但科技行业已率先出现招聘模式转变，年轻技术从业者成为首批受波及群体。\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\" class=\"ql-lineHeight-1-75\">布里格斯分析称，科技行业就业趋势在过二十年呈现持续线性增长，但近三年招聘规模明显低于预期轨迹。自2022年11月ChatGPT发布以来，生成式AI不仅催生英伟达(NVDA.US)等科技巨头市值飙升，更通过自动化处理常规任务对软件工程等领域形成冲击。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\" class=\"ql-lineHeight-1-75\">部分专家认为，当前AI模型已具备与人类工程师相当的代码编写能力，这引发市场对就业结构重构的担忧——自动化虽能提升企业效率与股东回报，却可能在未来数年颠覆传统就业格局。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\" class=\"ql-lineHeight-1-75\">近期科技高管对AI影响员工的表述愈发直接。谷歌(GOOGL.US)、微软(MSFT.US)等企业披露，AI已承担约30%的代码编写工作；赛富时(CRM.US)首席执行官马克·贝尼奥夫更透露，其公司半数工作量由AI完成。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\" class=\"ql-lineHeight-1-75\">布里格斯强调，年轻技术岗位最易被自动化取代，这已在就业数据中形成具体信号：今年以来，20至30岁科技从业者失业率较整体行业高出3个百分点，且增幅显著超过其他年龄段群体。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\" class=\"ql-lineHeight-1-75\">高盛全球投资研究部与IPUMS的联合报告《量化人工智能相关工作岗位流失风险》揭示了这一趋势的量化依据。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\" class=\"ql-lineHeight-1-75\">该机构全球研究所联席主管、前科技银行家乔治·李指出，科技公司在部署AI初期普遍采取\"暂停初级岗位招聘\"策略，通过精简人员架构提升企业灵活性。这种调整虽未直接裁员，却使年轻员工成为技术升级的\"过渡期牺牲品\"。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\" class=\"ql-lineHeight-1-75\">根据高盛基准情景测算，长期来看约6%-7%的岗位可能因AI自动化消失。但布里格斯提醒，若技术普及速度超出预期的十年周期，或遭遇经济下行迫使企业加速削减成本，就业市场将面临更剧烈的转型阵痛。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\" class=\"ql-lineHeight-1-75\">更值得关注的是通用人工智能(AGI)的潜在突破——当AI具备跨领域学习与自适应能力时，其对劳动力的替代空间将远超当前狭义应用场景，届时就业市场面临的颠覆性影响难以预估。目前所有分析均未纳入AGI变量，这一技术跃迁可能彻底改写劳动力需求的基本逻辑。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(187, 187, 187);\">【新闻来源】智通财经网 \u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.sohu.com\u002Fa\u002F921300783_114984?scm=1019.20001.0.0.0&spm=smpc.csrpage.news-list.12.1754464234085mCPpyTV\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"color: rgb(187, 187, 187);\">https:\u002F\u002Fwww.sohu.com\u002Fa\u002F921300783_114984?scm=1019.20001.0.0.0&spm=smpc.csrpage.news-list.12.1754464234085mCPpyTV\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(187, 187, 187);\">（本网转发此文章，旨在为读者提供更多的信息资讯，所涉内容不构成投资、消费建议。文章事实如有疑问，请与有关方核实，文章观点非本网观点，仅供读者参考。）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>","","https:\u002F\u002Fimage.51xinwei.com\u002F2025\u002F08\u002F6e14e5959e364f8abce8324762703e96\u002FAI领域.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fimage.51xinwei.com\u002F2025\u002F08\u002Fthumbs\u002F6e14e5959e364f8abce8324762703e96\u002FAI领域.jpg",0,1,214,"2025-08-06 17:59",2,false,{"id":17,"name":20,"enName":21},"芯位视野","Xinwei Vision","https:\u002F\u002Fxinwei-dev-test.oss-cn-shenzhen.aliyuncs.com\u002Fintelligent\u002Faudio%3A3f06b669-b466-4651-940a-73ddb68f90fe%3A0.wav?Expires=1754479873&OSSAccessKeyId=LTAI5tNvY2RkKjZw4LLWsrPK&Signature=O9%2FR73n2XcMDeCGoNlDAkEIzSKM%3D",5169702,"3f06b669-b466-4651-940a-73ddb68f90fe","2025-08-06 17:52","AI Disrupts the Job Market: 30% of Code at Google and Microsoft Generated by AI, Goldman Sachs Warns 6%-7% Jobs May Disappear","\u003Cp>\u003Cstrong class=\"ql-lineHeight-1-75\" style=\"font-size: 18px; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);\">According to Qizhong Finance, Goldman Sachs economists pointed out that the impact of generative AI on the U.S. labor market has begun to show signs in employment data. The institution's senior global economist Joseph Briggs stated that although most companies have not yet applied AI technology in practical production scenarios, the tech industry has already seen a shift in hiring patterns, with young tech professionals being the first affected group.\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\" class=\"ql-lineHeight-1-75\">Briggs analyzed that the employment trends in the tech industry had shown continuous linear growth over the past two decades, but the scale of recruitment has been significantly below the expected trajectory in the past three years. Since the release of ChatGPT in November 2022, generative AI has not only caused the stock market value of tech giants like NVIDIA (NVDA.US) to surge, but also impacted fields such as software engineering through automation of routine tasks.\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\" class=\"ql-lineHeight-1-75\">Some experts believe that current AI models have the ability to write code comparable to human engineers, which has raised concerns in the market about the restructuring of the job structure - automation can improve corporate efficiency and shareholder returns, but may disrupt the traditional job landscape in the coming years.\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\" class=\"ql-lineHeight-1-75\">Recently, tech executives have become more direct in their statements about the impact of AI on employees. Companies like Google (GOOGL.US) and Microsoft (MSFT.US) have disclosed that AI has taken on about 30% of the code writing work; Salesforce (CRM.US) CEO Marc Benioff also revealed that half of the company's workload is completed by AI.\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\" class=\"ql-lineHeight-1-75\">Briggs emphasized that younger technical positions are most susceptible to automation, which has already formed specific signals in employment data: this year, the unemployment rate of tech workers aged 20 to 30 has been 3 percentage points higher than the overall industry and has increased significantly more than other age groups.\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\" class=\"ql-lineHeight-1-75\">The joint report by Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research and IPUMS, \"Quantifying the Risk of Job Losses Related to Artificial Intelligence,\" reveals the quantitative basis for this trend.\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\" class=\"ql-lineHeight-1-75\">George Li, co-head of the Global Institute at the institution and former tech banker, pointed out that tech companies generally adopt a \"pause in hiring for junior positions\" strategy when deploying AI initially, improving corporate flexibility by streamlining personnel structures. This adjustment did not directly result in layoffs, but made young employees the \"sacrifices during the transition period\" of technological upgrades.\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\" class=\"ql-lineHeight-1-75\">According to Goldman Sachs' baseline scenario, in the long term, about 6%-7% of jobs may disappear due to AI automation. However, Briggs warned that if the speed of technology adoption exceeds the expected ten-year cycle, or if an economic downturn forces companies to accelerate cost-cutting, the job market will face more severe transformation pains.\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 18px;\" class=\"ql-lineHeight-1-75\">More importantly, the potential breakthroughs in general artificial intelligence (AGI) - when AI gains cross-domain learning and adaptive capabilities, its substitution space for labor will far exceed current narrow application scenarios, and the disruptive impact on the job market at that time will be unpredictable. None of the current analyses have included the AGI variable, and this technological leap could completely rewrite the basic logic of labor demand.\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(187, 187, 187);\">[News Source] Qizhong Finance Network \u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.sohu.com\u002Fa\u002F921300783_114984?scm=1019.20001.0.0.0&spm=smpc.csrpage.news-list.12.1754464234085mCPpyTV\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"color: rgb(187, 187, 187);\">https:\u002F\u002Fwww.sohu.com\u002Fa\u002F921300783_114984?scm=1019.20001.0.0.0&spm=smpc.csrpage.news-list.12.1754464234085mCPpyTV\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp class=\"ql-align-justify\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(187, 187, 187);\"> (This article is reprinted by this site to provide readers with more information and news. The content involved does not constitute investment or consumption advice. If there are any questions about the facts of the article, please verify with the relevant parties. The views expressed in the article are not the views of this site, and are for reference only.)\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>","https:\u002F\u002Fxinwei-dev-test.oss-cn-shenzhen.aliyuncs.com\u002Fintelligent\u002Faudio%3A9f25460f-41f6-4b3f-9408-812dcafee221%3A0.wav?Expires=1774838502&OSSAccessKeyId=LTAI5tNvY2RkKjZw4LLWsrPK&Signature=wbBjrsYBZ8e3ErIxwizFli%2FnA3s%3D","9f25460f-41f6-4b3f-9408-812dcafee221",7199466]